A new nationwide opinion poll conducted by Interview for greek website Politic shows New Democracy maintaining a clear lead over its rivals, while a slim majority of Greeks consider a third consecutive term for the center-right party likely, though not necessarily with an outright majority in Parliament.
The findings reflect a nuanced political climate in Greece, combining expectations of continuity with skepticism about single-party dominance.
New Democracy Maintains Lead in Vote Intention
In vote intention, New Democracy stands at 26.4%, comfortably ahead of the opposition. The full breakdown is as follows:
- New Democracy: 26.4%
- PASOK: 12.0%
- Plefsi Eleftherias: 7.0%
- Elliniki Lysi: 6.4%
- Syriza: 3.6%
- Voice of Reason: 3.5%
- MeRA25: 3.3%
Undecided voters account for roughly 16.7%, a sizable share that could prove decisive in shaping the final outcome.
Although the ruling party’s lead is clear, its projected percentage indicates it will not be able to secure an outright parliamentary majority and form a government by itself.
Election Estimate Shows Stronger Performance
When respondents were asked to estimate the likely election result, New Democracy’s support rose to 31.6%, suggesting that some voters may ultimately consolidate around the party.
The projected figures were:
- New Democracy: 31.6%
- PASOK: 13.8%
- Plefsi Eleftherias: 8.3%
- Elliniki Lysi: 7.4%
- KKE: 7.0%
- Syriza, Voice of Reason and MeRA25: single-digit percentages
The gap between vote intention and estimated result points to a perception that New Democracy could perform more strongly on election day than current preference data suggest.
Third Term Seen as Likely; But No Majority
Despite doubts about parliamentary self-sufficiency, 53% of respondents say a third consecutive New Democracy government is very or fairly likely. At the same time, 45% view such a scenario as unlikely.
When it comes specifically to an outright majority, however, skepticism is far more pronounced. Nearly seven in 10 respondents — 69% — consider it unlikely or not at all likely that New Democracy will secure enough seats to govern alone, compared with just 30% who believe self-sufficiency is probable.
The data suggest that while many voters expect the party to remain in power, they foresee a more complicated governing landscape.
Mitsotakis Leads, but “No One” Close Behind
Prime Minister Kyriakos Mitsotakis is seen as the most suitable candidate for the premiership, receiving 31.5% support. Strikingly, 29.5% of respondents chose “no one,” indicating a high level of dissatisfaction or a lack of a compelling alternative.
PASOK leader Nikos Androulakis trails at 10%, with other political figures remaining in single digits.
When asked who would be the most formidable opponent to Mitsotakis, one-third of respondents again answered “no one.” Maria Karystianou followed with 17%, Alexis Tsipras with 16%, and Androulakis with 13%. The results suggest that a significant portion of the electorate does not see a clear or dominant challenger to the current prime minister.
In a hypothetical head-to-head question — “Mitsotakis or Tsipras?” — 38% selected Mitsotakis, 28% chose Tsipras, and 34% opted for neither. The large share declining to back either leader highlights continued fluidity in voter attitudes.
Change or Stability?
The poll also captures a country divided between competing political instincts. Forty-four percent of respondents say they prefer political change, even if it brings uncertainty. Meanwhile, 41% favor stability and security, while 15% do not align with either option.
The near balance underscores a broader tension in Greek public opinion: a desire for renewal alongside caution about potential economic or social disruption.
Limited Appetite for New Political Formations
Respondents were also asked about the possibility of new political parties emerging under Maria Karystianou or Alexis Tsipras.
Support for such initiatives appears limited. More than seven in 10 respondents — 73.4% — say it would be not at all likely they would vote for a party led by Karystianou, with only 18% viewing that prospect as likely or fairly likely. Similarly, 69.4% say they would be unlikely to back a new party led by Tsipras, while roughly 16.5% consider it plausible.
For now, at least, the data point to low momentum for new political vehicles centered on either figure.
