Ruling New Democracy (ND) party retained a commanding lead in a new nationwide Metron Analysis poll despite growing fragmentation across the political landscape, while newly launched political movements led by former Prime Minister Alexis Tsipras and Tempi rail disaster victims’ advocate Maria Karystianou reshaped the opposition field and further complicated prospects for future coalition-building.
The survey, presented on Mega TV’s prime-time newscast, showed center-right New Democracy at 22.7% in voting intention, ahead of Tsipras’ newly formed Greek Left Alliance (EL.A.S) at 12.1% and PASOK at 9%. Karystianou’s newly established Hope for Democracy movement debuted at 8.3%, while leftist SYRIZA collapsed to a paltry 1.8%, underscoring the continuing erosion of the party that once dominated Greece’s left and radical left.
In terms of vote projection, which reallocates undecided voters, ND stood at 28.5%, unchanged from April. EL.A.S ranked second with 15.2%, followed by PASOK on 11.2% and Hope for Democracy on 10.4%.
The findings reinforce a trend seen across multiple polls over the past month: New Democracy remains the country’s dominant political force despite public dissatisfaction over issues ranging from the Tempi disaster to the cost of living, while opposition parties continue to struggle to consolidate support. Recent surveys have consistently shown the center-left fragmented among socialist/social democrat PASOK, the remnants of SYRIZA, Tsipras’ new political initiative and anti-establishment movements that have gained momentum from public anger over institutional failures.
The poll suggests a nine-party parliament if elections were held today. Under current electoral rules, New Democracy would secure 113 seats, well short of the 151 required for a majority. ELAS would win 46 seats, PASOK 34 and Hope for Democracy 31, while Zoe Konstantopoulou’s Plefsi Eleftherias, the Elliniki Lysi (Greek Solution) party, the Communist Party (KKE), Voice of Reason (Foni Logikis) and MeRA25 would also enter parliament. SYRIZA would fail to clear the 3% threshold.
Incumbent Prime Minister Kyriakos Mitsotakis maintained a clear advantage as the preferred candidate for premier, with 28% identifying him as most suitable for the office. Tsipras followed at 14%, while PASOK leader Nikos Androulakis and Karystianou each received 6%. The share of respondents selecting “none” remained high at 27%, reflecting persistent voter disillusionment.
The survey also highlighted differing sources of support for the two newcomers. More than half of EL.A.S voters previously backed SYRIZA, indicating that Tsipras has succeeded in reclaiming a substantial portion of his former political base. By contrast, Karystianou’s movement drew support from across the political spectrum, including former ND, SYRIZA, Greek Solution and PASOK voters, as well as a significant share of citizens who had previously abstained or cast blank ballots.
