Ten polls published over the past 25 days point to a broadly weakening picture for New Democracy, although not all surveys show losses. While a few polls record gains or place the governing party at relatively higher levels, most show ND losing ground in voting intention, with some measuring it near or below historic lows.
The findings suggest that while New Democracy remains the leading party, it is increasingly far from the level needed to secure an outright parliamentary majority if current trends were confirmed at the ballot box.
The decline comes amid mounting public concern over the cost of living, the economy, the rule of law, and a series of scandals, including OPEKEPE and the wiretapping affair. In one Alco poll, 72% of respondents said they do not believe there is rule of law in Greece and that laws are applied selectively.
Across the latest surveys, New Democracy’s voting intention ranges from 21.5% in a Metron Analysis poll to 28.7% in a Marc poll. Alco placed ND at 22.8%, MRB at 22.5%, GPO at 23.8%, Pulse at 24%, Real Polls at 24.6%, Prorata at 24%, Opinion Poll at 25.5%, and Marc at 28.7%.
PASOK shows modest gains but remains well behind New Democracy, polling mostly around 10% to 12%. The party’s strongest figure cited in the surveys is 12.2% in the Alco poll, while Pulse places it at 12%, Opinion Poll at 11.7%, Metron Analysis at 11.3%, MRB also at 11.3%, Marc at 11.1%, Prorata at 11%, and Real Polls at 10.4%.
The picture is more fluid further down the political field. Greek Solution, the Communist Party, Course of Freedom, SYRIZA and Voice of Reason are competing in a fragmented space, with small differences between them in several polls. SYRIZA remains close to the 3% parliamentary threshold in some surveys, while Course of Freedom appears to be losing momentum after earlier gains.
One of the more notable developments is the appearance, in polling scenarios, of potential parties linked to former prime minister Alexis Tsipras and Maria Karystianou, despite the fact that neither has been officially announced. An Interview poll for politic.gr even places a hypothetical “Tsipras party” in second position, ahead of PASOK.
The overall picture is one of political erosion rather than immediate collapse. New Democracy remains first, but its support has fallen sharply enough in several polls to raise questions about governability one year before elections. At the same time, the opposition remains divided, with PASOK rising only gradually and smaller parties competing for space in a volatile political environment.
