Greece’s political landscape remains largely frozen in place, according to a new opinion poll conducted by GPO for STAR television, with the center-right governing party, New Democracy, holding a double-digit lead over its nearest competitor and no significant reshuffling in sight across the rest of the field.
New Democracy, the party of Prime Minister Kyriakos Mitsotakis which has governed Greece since 2019, leads with 26.3% of voting intentions — more than double the 12.2% recorded by PASOK, the center-left party that has gradually re-emerged as the country’s main opposition force over the past several years. The gap between the two largest parties stands at 14.1 percentage points.
A Fragmented Opposition
Below the top two, the landscape is crowded but fragmented. Greek Solution, a far -right nationalist party, came in third place with 8.9%. The Communist Party of Greece (KKE), followed with 8.1%, and Plefsi Eleftherias, the left-wing party led by former speaker of parliament Zoe Konstantopoulou, recorded 7%.
Left-wing SYRIZA, that governed Greece from 2015 to 2019 and was one of the country’s dominant political forces during the financial crisis, continues its dramatic decline, polling at just 3.8%. The party has been in freefall since a bruising electoral defeat in 2023 and a subsequent internal divisions.
Smaller parties rounding out the picture include NIKI, a far-right Christian nationalist party, at 2.3%; the far-left MeRA25, founded by former Finance Minister Yanis Varoufakis, at 1.9%; New Left at 1% and far-right populist party Foni Loyikis at 2.3%. Combined, other parties and groupings accounted for 7.1% of responses, while 1.7% said they would cast a spoiled or blank ballot. A notable 16.2% of respondents said they did not know or had not yet decided how they would vote.
Two New Entrants, Modest Enthusiasm
Perhaps the most closely watched section of the poll concerns two figures currently in the process of forming new political parties: Maria Karystianou and Alexis Tsipras.
Karystianou is a prominent activist and mother of one of the victims of the 2023 Tempi train disaster in which 57 people werelost their lives. She has become a leading but divisive voice in the prolonged public outcry demanding accountability.
The poll asked respondents how likely they would be to vote for a party founded by Karystianou. Some 6.3% said it was very likely and 11.5% said it was fairly likely — a combined positive signal of roughly 17.8%. However, 81% said it was unlikely or not at all likely.
The numbers for Tsipras are nearly identical. The former prime minister, who resigned the SYRIZA leadership following the party’s 2023 electoral collapse and has since signaled his intention to form a new political vehicle, registered 6.5% “very likely” and 10.9% “fairly likely,” for a combined positive rate of about 17.4%. Against that, 81.7% said they were unlikely or very unlikely to support him.
