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Ruling New Democracy (ND) party maintains a substantial lead over the newly formed Greek Left Alliance (ELAS), according to a new opinion poll by Marc, presented on the ANT1 channel on Thursday evening, with the ruling party leading by 14.7 percentage points in the estimated vote.

ND registers 30.5% in the estimated vote, marginally up from 30.4% in October 2026, while the new party led by former prime minister Alexis Tsipras remains unchanged at 15.8%.

Main opposition PASOK retains third place, with voting intention rising by half a percentage point, to 11% from 10.5%, although its estimated vote share remains virtually unchanged. PASOK leader Nikos Androulakis again receives a single-digit rating, at 7.4%, when respondents are asked who would be most suitable for prime minister.

The poll projects a nine-party parliament.

Voting intention

In voting intention, ND leads with 27.2%, maintaining a 13.2-percentage-point advantage over leftist ELAS, which stands at 14%. Socialist / social democrat PASOK follows in third place with 11%.

Right-of-center Greek Solution (Elliniki Lysi) records 6.2%, followed closely by the Communist Party (KKE) at 6.1%, while Course of Freedom (Plefsi Eleftherias) party receives 5.1%.

Another out-of-Parliament party, Hope for Democracy, stands at 4%, with the Voice of Reason (Foni Logikis) party at 3.4%.

Assessment of the government’s performance

Positive assessments of the government’s performance stand at 36%, down from 36.7% in October.

The favorable assessment has declined slightly among ND voters, while approximately one-third of PASOK supporters express a positive opinion of the government’s policies.

Preferred prime minister

Incumbent Kyriakos Mitsotakis improves his standing by almost half a percentage point in the preferred-prime-minister category, reaching 31%, compared with 30.6% in October. Former prime minister Alexis Tsipras also records an increase, to 14.7% from 14.2%.

Public perceptions of a possible incident with Turkey

Asked about Greek-Turkish relations, 33.5% of respondents consider a military incident with Turkey fairly or very likely, while 64.1% regard such a scenario as unlikely or very unlikely.

The poll was completed before a French vessel sailed in international waters east of Kasos and Turkey’s subsequent muted response this week.